CryptoCon, a figure in the cryptocurrency analysis community, has presented a detailed prediction graph indicating that the next peak of the Bitcoin cycle will be around $130,000. According to the analyst, the date of the next cycle’s highest point will be on November 28, 2025, with a potential deviation of 21 days. This prediction is based on the theory of the halving cycle, adjusting the price volatility of Bitcoin based on the occurrence of halving events. The halving cycle theory describes the historical price trajectory and projections of Bitcoin through four color-coded cycles, each representing a different phase of the market as defined by CryptoCon. “Green Years” represent accumulation phases, with prices buying at the best cycle and returning to the average level, equal to half of the previous all-time high (ATH). “Green Years” are defined as preparatory stages in which prices fluctuate around the average level before rising to new ATHs later in the year. “Red Years” anticipate new ATHs, while “Orange Years” suggest a market where prices decline, reaching low points at the end of the year. CryptoCon’s theory is based on observed historical patterns surrounding the Bitcoin halving events—the first one on November 28, 2012, and the second one on July 9, 2016. The analyst asserted, “Every prediction from this model has been on track since it was created in 2016. Until January of this year.” Despite criticism of the precise timing of past cycle peaks, CryptoCon maintains confidence in the model, stating, “The biggest critique I’ve seen of this model is the technical top occurring in April 2021 instead of November. But you can’t argue with numbers, higher prices.” Peaks, Peaks, and Early Bottoms for the Next BTC Cycle The analyst’s approach combines various price experiments and the Price Trend Model, leading to a consensus target of $130,000. The shared graph also indicates that Bitcoin is currently in the “Green Year”. According to CryptoCon, the next early peak of Bitcoin is predicted to occur within 21 days around July 9, 2024, with an expected price range of $42,000 to $48,000. The chart analysis continues to forecast the next cycle peak, expected to occur within a similar 21-day range around November 28, 2025. The projected price range for this peak is significantly higher, with targets ranging from $90,000 to $130,000. CryptoCon’s tweet emphasizes this prediction, stating, “Nothing has changed about my timeframe or expected price for the next Bitcoin cycle peak. 90 – 130k +/- 21 days from 28/11/2025.” Interestingly, CryptoCon also provides insights into the next cycle’s bottom. His forecast proposes a price floor of around $27,000, again within a 21-day range from November 28, 2026. This aligns with the “Orange Year” of the model, which is typically characterized as a bear market phase where prices are expected to bottom out by the end of the year. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $35,229. BTC price rally underway, 1-day chart | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com
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